Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Missouri Valley 50%, MidAmerica Nazarene 50% at MidAmerica Nazarene.
Missouri Valley's win probability against MidAmerica Nazarene has swung between 44% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Missouri Valley's win probability against MidAmerica Nazarene has swung between 50% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Missouri Valley's win probability against MidAmerica Nazarene has swung between 56% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.