Missouri Baptist at MidAmerica Nazarene Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MidAmerica Nazarene by 14.15
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's NAIA predictions
RATINGS
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene 
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
74
C
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
62
D-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
73
C-
|
RANKINGS
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene
| 55 #565 overall |
Overall | 40 #491 overall |
| 69 #651 overall |
Power | 51 #560 overall |
| 75 #667 overall |
Offensive | 50 #543 overall |
| 63 #625 overall |
Defensive | 54 #588 overall |
| 70 #646 overall |
SoS (Current) | 90 #696 overall |
| 43 #556 overall |
SoS (Future) | 65 #630 overall |
MidAmerica Nazarene#4080%Missouri Baptist#5520%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: MidAmerica Nazarene 80%, Missouri Baptist 20% at MidAmerica Nazarene.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Missouri Baptist has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Missouri Baptist has swung between 60% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.
MidAmerica Nazarene's win probability against Missouri Baptist has swung between 66% and 82% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 80% now.
MidAmerica Nazarene favored
Missouri Baptist favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Missouri Baptist | Neutral | At MidAmerica Nazarene |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 70% | 75% | 80% |
RECORDS
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Overall |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene
| #668 Peru St | Best Win | #613 Central Methodist |
| #462 St Ambrose | Worst Loss | #617 Graceland |
| 12 pts vs #741 Mount Mercy | Largest MOV | 41 pts vs #722 Clarke IA |
| 31 pts vs #286 William Penn | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #617 Graceland |
OTHER STATISTICS
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene
| 17.8 | Points per Game | 33.3 |
| 24.8 | Points Against | 29 |
| 27 | Home PPG | 26.7 |
| 17.5 | Home PA | 30 |
| 8.5 | Away PPG | 40 |
| 32 | Away PA | 28 |
| 8-13 | Opponent Record | 11-23 |
| 539.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 584.8 |
| L 1 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Missouri Baptist
MidAmerica Nazarene
| Sep 26 | vs Mount Mercy (0-5) | W33-21 | Oct 3 | vs Central Methodist (2-4) | W29-24 |
| Sep 19 | at William Penn (5-1) | L10-41 | Sep 26 | vs Grand View (5-1) | L13-35 |
| Sep 12 | vs Peru St (0-5) | W21-14 | Sep 19 | at Clarke IA (0-5) | W58-17 |
| Sep 5 | at St Ambrose (3-2) | L7-23 | Sep 12 | vs Culver-Stockton (1-5) | W38-31 |