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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Oklahoma 57%, Michigan 43% at Michigan.
Oklahoma's win probability against Michigan has swung between 43% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Oklahoma's win probability against Michigan has swung between 49% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Oklahoma's win probability against Michigan has swung between 55% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.