Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's FBS predictions →
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Iowa 53%, Michigan 47% at Michigan.
Iowa's win probability against Michigan has swung between 42% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Iowa's win probability against Michigan has swung between 49% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Iowa's win probability against Michigan has swung between 55% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.