Wagner at Merrimack Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Merrimack by 15.54
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Wagner
Merrimack 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
64
D
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
75
C
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
74
C
|
RANKINGS
Wagner
Merrimack
| 120 #547 overall |
Overall | 91 #390 overall |
| 119 #345 overall |
Power | 96 #259 overall |
| 120 #346 overall |
Offensive | 105 #279 overall |
| 116 #337 overall |
Defensive | 84 #237 overall |
| 75 #227 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #255 overall |
| 99 #280 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 79 #231 overall |
Merrimack#9182%
Wagner#12018%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Merrimack 82%, Wagner 18% at Merrimack.
Merrimack's win probability against Wagner has swung between 58% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.
Merrimack's win probability against Wagner has swung between 64% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Merrimack's win probability against Wagner has swung between 70% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Merrimack favored
Wagner favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Wagner | Neutral | At Merrimack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 1 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 3 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 63% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
RECORDS
Wagner
Merrimack
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
3-5 (37.5%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-4 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Wagner
Merrimack
| #596 Southern Conn St | Best Win | #451 New Haven |
| #443 Robert Morris | Worst Loss | #306 Yale |
| 24 pts vs #596 Southern Conn St | Largest MOV | 9 pts vs #538 Maine |
| 84 pts vs #47 James Madison | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #200 Delaware |
OTHER STATISTICS
Wagner
Merrimack
| 13.1 | Points per Game | 17.9 |
| 38.8 | Points Against | 28.8 |
| 15 | Home PPG | 16 |
| 19.3 | Home PA | 20.3 |
| 11.3 | Away PPG | 19 |
| 58.3 | Away PA | 33.8 |
| 32-28 | Opponent Record | 26-34 |
| 299.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 322 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Wagner
Merrimack
| Oct 24 | at Duquesne (3-4) | L21-52 | Oct 24 | vs New Hampshire (2-7) | W24-17 |
| Oct 17 | vs LIU (3-6) | L9-14 | Oct 17 | at Dartmouth (3-3) | L21-27 |
| Oct 10 | vs Princeton (4-2) | L13-28 | Oct 3 | at Yale (3-3) | L24-41 |
| Oct 3 | at Central Conn St (4-3) | L14-45 | Sep 26 | vs New Haven (2-6) | W17-10 |
| Sep 19 | at California (3-5) | L7-49 | Sep 19 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L20-45 |
| Sep 12 | at James Madison (7-1) | L3-87 | Sep 12 | at Maine (1-7) | W23-14 |
| Sep 5 | vs Southern Conn St (4-3) | W31-7 | Sep 3 | at Delaware (3-4) | L7-42 |
| Aug 29 | vs Robert Morris (4-4) | L7-28 | Aug 28 | vs Rhode Island (4-4) | L7-34 |