New Haven at Merrimack Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Merrimack by 6.12
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
New Haven
Merrimack 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
74
C
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
71
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
66
D
|
|
69
D+
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
64
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
75
C
|
RANKINGS
New Haven
Merrimack
| 110 #472 overall |
Overall | 83 #344 overall |
| 110 #284 overall |
Power | 93 #256 overall |
| 115 #305 overall |
Offensive | 109 #293 overall |
| 100 #266 overall |
Defensive | 87 #238 overall |
| 67 #217 overall |
SoS (Current) | 90 #254 overall |
| 98 #274 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 64 #208 overall |
Merrimack#8364%
New Haven#11036%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Merrimack 64%, New Haven 36% at Merrimack.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven has swung between 39% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven has swung between 46% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven has swung between 52% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Merrimack favored
New Haven favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At New Haven | Neutral | At Merrimack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
RECORDS
New Haven
Merrimack
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Overall |
4-5 (44.4%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-5 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Haven
Merrimack
| #443 Marist | Best Win | #439 New Hampshire |
| #377 Stonehill | Worst Loss | #265 Rhode Island |
| 11 pts vs #474 Robert Morris | Largest MOV | 9 pts vs #542 Maine |
| 43 pts vs #76 South Dakota St | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #164 Delaware |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Haven
Merrimack
| 15.1 | Points per Game | 18 |
| 30.3 | Points Against | 27.1 |
| 12.3 | Home PPG | 16.8 |
| 25 | Home PA | 18.8 |
| 17.4 | Away PPG | 19 |
| 34.6 | Away PA | 33.8 |
| 43-34 | Opponent Record | 32-44 |
| 291.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 323.2 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Haven
Merrimack
| Oct 31 | vs Duquesne (4-4) | L14-41 | Oct 31 | vs Wagner (1-8) | W19-14 |
| Oct 24 | at Central Conn St (5-3) | L20-42 | Oct 24 | vs New Hampshire (2-7) | W24-17 |
| Oct 17 | at Robert Morris (4-5) | W26-15 | Oct 17 | at Dartmouth (4-3) | L21-27 |
| Oct 3 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | L17-42 | Oct 3 | at Yale (4-3) | L24-41 |
| Sep 26 | at Merrimack (4-5) | L10-17 | Sep 26 | vs New Haven (2-7) | W17-10 |
| Sep 19 | vs Brown (4-3) | L10-17 | Sep 19 | at Tarleton St (9-0) | L20-45 |
| Sep 12 | at South Dakota St (7-2) | L14-57 | Sep 12 | at Maine (1-8) | W23-14 |
| Sep 5 | vs Stonehill (4-5) | L3-21 | Sep 3 | at Delaware (4-4) | L7-42 |
| Aug 28 | vs Marist (4-5) | W22-21 | Aug 28 | vs Rhode Island (5-4) | L7-34 |