New Haven at Merrimack Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Merrimack by 4.29
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
New Haven
Merrimack 
|
66
D
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
75
C
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
74
C
|
RANKINGS
New Haven
Merrimack
| 108 #451 overall |
Overall | 91 #390 overall |
| 107 #273 overall |
Power | 96 #259 overall |
| 110 #294 overall |
Offensive | 105 #279 overall |
| 93 #249 overall |
Defensive | 84 #237 overall |
| 65 #214 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #255 overall |
| 102 #287 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 79 #231 overall |
Merrimack#9160%
New Haven#10840%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Merrimack 60%, New Haven 40% at Merrimack.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven is trending down — from 69% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven is trending down — from 74% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Merrimack's win probability against New Haven is trending down — from 79% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
Merrimack favored
New Haven favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At New Haven | Neutral | At Merrimack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
RECORDS
New Haven
Merrimack
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
3-5 (37.5%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
1-4 (20%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-4 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New Haven
Merrimack
| #403 Marist | Best Win | #451 New Haven |
| #414 Stonehill | Worst Loss | #306 Yale |
| 11 pts vs #443 Robert Morris | Largest MOV | 9 pts vs #538 Maine |
| 43 pts vs #105 South Dakota St | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #200 Delaware |
OTHER STATISTICS
New Haven
Merrimack
| 15.3 | Points per Game | 17.9 |
| 29 | Points Against | 28.8 |
| 11.7 | Home PPG | 16 |
| 19.7 | Home PA | 20.3 |
| 17.4 | Away PPG | 19 |
| 34.6 | Away PA | 33.8 |
| 34-28 | Opponent Record | 26-34 |
| 292.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 322 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New Haven
Merrimack
| Oct 24 | at Central Conn St (4-3) | L20-42 | Oct 24 | vs New Hampshire (2-7) | W24-17 |
| Oct 17 | at Robert Morris (4-4) | W26-15 | Oct 17 | at Dartmouth (3-3) | L21-27 |
| Oct 3 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | L17-42 | Oct 3 | at Yale (3-3) | L24-41 |
| Sep 26 | at Merrimack (3-5) | L10-17 | Sep 26 | vs New Haven (2-6) | W17-10 |
| Sep 19 | vs Brown (3-3) | L10-17 | Sep 19 | at Tarleton St (8-0) | L20-45 |
| Sep 12 | at South Dakota St (6-2) | L14-57 | Sep 12 | at Maine (1-7) | W23-14 |
| Sep 5 | vs Stonehill (3-5) | L3-21 | Sep 3 | at Delaware (3-4) | L7-42 |
| Aug 28 | vs Marist (4-4) | W22-21 | Aug 28 | vs Rhode Island (4-4) | L7-34 |