Wagner at Mercyhurst Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mercyhurst by 12.22
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Mercyhurst
Wagner 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
62
D-
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
62
D-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
64
D
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
69
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoR (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
63
D-
|
RANKINGS
Mercyhurst
Wagner
| 121 #548 overall |
Overall | 120 #547 overall |
| 109 #279 overall |
Power | 119 #345 overall |
| 87 #252 overall |
Offensive | 120 #346 overall |
| 112 #309 overall |
Defensive | 116 #337 overall |
| 68 #218 overall |
SoS (Current) | 75 #227 overall |
| 95 #274 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 99 #280 overall |
Mercyhurst#12176%
Wagner#12024%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Mercyhurst 76%, Wagner 24% at Mercyhurst.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Wagner has swung between 44% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Wagner has swung between 50% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Mercyhurst's win probability against Wagner has swung between 56% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Mercyhurst favored
Wagner favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Wagner | Neutral | At Mercyhurst |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 1 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 3 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 6 | 57% | 63% | 68% |
| Wk 7 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 9 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Mercyhurst
Wagner
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
1-7 (12.5%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Away |
0-4 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-4 (20%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-3 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
0-5 (0%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Mercyhurst
Wagner
| #684 Glenville St | Best Win | #596 Southern Conn St |
| #443 Robert Morris | Worst Loss | #443 Robert Morris |
| 29 pts vs #684 Glenville St | Largest MOV | 24 pts vs #596 Southern Conn St |
| 63 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 84 pts vs #47 James Madison |
OTHER STATISTICS
Mercyhurst
Wagner
| 20.6 | Points per Game | 13.1 |
| 41.8 | Points Against | 38.8 |
| 44.5 | Home PPG | 15 |
| 31.5 | Home PA | 19.3 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 11.3 |
| 45.2 | Away PA | 58.3 |
| 30-31 | Opponent Record | 32-28 |
| 294.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 299.8 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mercyhurst
Wagner
| Oct 24 | at Robert Morris (4-4) | L14-28 | Oct 24 | at Duquesne (3-4) | L21-52 |
| Oct 17 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | L40-43 | Oct 17 | vs LIU (3-6) | L9-14 |
| Oct 3 | at LIU (3-6) | L24-27 | Oct 10 | vs Princeton (4-2) | L13-28 |
| Sep 26 | at Western Kentucky (3-4) | L7-52 | Oct 3 | at Central Conn St (4-3) | L14-45 |
| Sep 19 | vs Glenville St (1-7) | W49-20 | Sep 19 | at California (3-5) | L7-49 |
| Sep 12 | at New Mexico (6-1) | L7-70 | Sep 12 | at James Madison (7-1) | L3-87 |
| Sep 5 | at New Mexico St (3-4) | L14-51 | Sep 5 | vs Southern Conn St (4-3) | W31-7 |
| Aug 27 | at Youngstown St (6-2) | L10-43 | Aug 29 | vs Robert Morris (4-4) | L7-28 |