Central Conn St at Mercyhurst Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Central Conn St by 10.8
TOTAL POINTS
65
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
66
D
|
|
64
D
|
SoR (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
RANKINGS
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St
| 121 #548 overall |
Overall | 46 #232 overall |
| 109 #279 overall |
Power | 58 #201 overall |
| 87 #252 overall |
Offensive | 38 #177 overall |
| 112 #309 overall |
Defensive | 87 #241 overall |
| 68 #218 overall |
SoS (Current) | 98 #275 overall |
| 95 #274 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 108 #309 overall |
Central Conn St#4674%Mercyhurst#12126%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Central Conn St 74%, Mercyhurst 26% at Mercyhurst.
Central Conn St's win probability against Mercyhurst is trending up — from 55% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Central Conn St's win probability against Mercyhurst is trending up — from 61% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Central Conn St's win probability against Mercyhurst is trending up — from 67% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Central Conn St favored
Mercyhurst favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Mercyhurst | Neutral | At Central Conn St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 1 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 7 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 9 | 74% | 78% | 83% |
RECORDS
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-3 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St
| #684 Glenville St | Best Win | #451 New Haven |
| #443 Robert Morris | Worst Loss | #76 South Dakota |
| 29 pts vs #684 Glenville St | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #600 American Int'l |
| 63 pts vs #41 New Mexico | Largest MOD | 53 pts vs #61 Toledo |
OTHER STATISTICS
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St
| 20.6 | Points per Game | 34.4 |
| 41.8 | Points Against | 35 |
| 44.5 | Home PPG | 46 |
| 31.5 | Home PA | 16 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 25.8 |
| 45.2 | Away PA | 49.3 |
| 30-31 | Opponent Record | 27-30 |
| 294.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 334.7 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mercyhurst
Central Conn St
| Oct 24 | at Robert Morris (4-4) | L14-28 | Oct 24 | vs New Haven (2-6) | W42-20 |
| Oct 17 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | L40-43 | Oct 17 | at Mercyhurst (1-7) | W43-40 |
| Oct 3 | at LIU (3-6) | L24-27 | Oct 10 | vs American Int'l (3-5) | W51-14 |
| Sep 26 | at Western Kentucky (3-4) | L7-52 | Oct 3 | vs Wagner (1-7) | W45-14 |
| Sep 19 | vs Glenville St (1-7) | W49-20 | Sep 19 | at Montana St (7-1) | L30-35 |
| Sep 12 | at New Mexico (6-1) | L7-70 | Sep 12 | at Toledo (6-2) | L10-63 |
| Sep 5 | at New Mexico St (3-4) | L14-51 | Aug 29 | at South Dakota (7-2) | L20-59 |
| Aug 27 | at Youngstown St (6-2) | L10-43 |