Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 51%, Army 49% at Memphis.
Memphis' win probability against Army has swung between 25% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 39% now.
Memphis' win probability against Army has swung between 30% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 45% now.
Memphis' win probability against Army has swung between 36% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 51% now.