Arkansas St at Memphis Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Memphis by 12.08
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Arkansas St
Memphis 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
73
C-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Arkansas St
Memphis
| 108 #166 overall |
Overall | 58 #62 overall |
| 94 #96 overall |
Power | 69 #69 overall |
| 92 #95 overall |
Offensive | 56 #56 overall |
| 99 #101 overall |
Defensive | 81 #81 overall |
| 127 #146 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #104 overall |
| 130 #145 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 93 #93 overall |
Memphis#5876%
Arkansas St#10824%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 76%, Arkansas St 24% at Memphis.
Memphis' win probability against Arkansas St has swung between 60% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Memphis' win probability against Arkansas St has swung between 66% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Memphis' win probability against Arkansas St has swung between 72% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Memphis favored
Arkansas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Arkansas St | Neutral | At Memphis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 1 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 7 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 8 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Arkansas St
Memphis
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas St
Memphis
| #177 Georgia St | Best Win | #94 UNLV |
| #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Worst Loss | #96 Tulane |
| 45 pts vs #506 West Georgia | Largest MOV | 51 pts vs #278 UNC-Charlotte |
| 24 pts vs #92 TCU | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #24 Boise St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Arkansas St
Memphis
| 28.8 | Points per Game | 36.1 |
| 27.3 | Points Against | 23.8 |
| 39 | Home PPG | 41.5 |
| 27.3 | Home PA | 23 |
| 18.5 | Away PPG | 30.8 |
| 27.3 | Away PA | 24.5 |
| 26-33 | Opponent Record | 28-30 |
| 210.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 161.1 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas St
Memphis
| Oct 24 | vs Georgia St (4-3) | W38-32 | Oct 22 | vs East Carolina (3-4) | W41-34 |
| Oct 17 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | W23-13 | Oct 16 | at Tulane (3-4) | L17-31 |
| Oct 8 | vs South Alabama (4-3) | L49-56 | Oct 10 | vs Alabama-Birmingham (4-3) | W38-13 |
| Oct 3 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L20-23 | Oct 3 | at UNC-Charlotte (1-6) | W59-8 |
| Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw St (1-6) | W17-14 | Sep 19 | vs Tennessee-Martin (3-5) | W45-21 |
| Sep 19 | at TCU (3-4) | L7-31 | Sep 12 | at #24 Boise St (6-1) | L20-38 |
| Sep 12 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W52-7 | Sep 5 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | W42-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Memphis (6-2) | L24-42 | Aug 29 | at UNLV (4-3) | W27-21 |