Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Memphis 80%, Alabama-Birmingham 20% at Memphis.
Memphis' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 69% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Memphis' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 74% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Memphis' win probability against Alabama-Birmingham has swung between 79% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.