Tarleton St at McNeese St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 16.02
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
McNeese St
Tarleton 
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
79
C+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
81
B-
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
|
77
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
McNeese St
Tarleton
| 64 #286 overall |
Overall | 6 #75 overall |
| 64 #207 overall |
Power | 9 #137 overall |
| 67 #217 overall |
Offensive | 7 #115 overall |
| 61 #201 overall |
Defensive | 28 #160 overall |
| 41 #180 overall |
SoS (Current) | 103 #289 overall |
| 36 #174 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 68 #215 overall |
Tarleton St#682%
McNeese St#6418%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Tarleton St 82%, McNeese St 18% at McNeese St.
Tarleton St's win probability against McNeese St has swung between 61% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against McNeese St has swung between 66% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.
Tarleton St's win probability against McNeese St has swung between 72% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Tarleton St favored
McNeese St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At McNeese St | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 5 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 61% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 8 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
RECORDS
McNeese St
Tarleton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
8-0 (100%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
4-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
McNeese St
Tarleton
| #413 East Texas A&M | Best Win | #133 Austin Peay |
| #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Worst Loss | None |
| 52 pts vs #520 Texas Wesleyan | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 49 pts vs #9 LSU | Largest MOD | None |
OTHER STATISTICS
McNeese St
Tarleton
| 23 | Points per Game | 41.9 |
| 29.8 | Points Against | 22.6 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 49.8 |
| 22.3 | Home PA | 26.5 |
| 13.5 | Away PPG | 34 |
| 37.3 | Away PA | 18.8 |
| 36-28 | Opponent Record | 23-43 |
| 252.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 347 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 8 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
McNeese St
Tarleton
| Oct 24 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L6-38 | Oct 24 | at West Georgia (1-7) | W49-6 |
| Oct 17 | at Northwestern St (0-8) | W24-21 | Oct 17 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W49-35 |
| Oct 3 | at #9 LSU (6-2) | L14-63 | Oct 10 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | W40-32 |
| Sep 26 | vs East Texas A&M (2-6) | W27-24 | Oct 3 | vs Chicago St (1-7) | W56-21 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | L10-27 | Sep 19 | vs Merrimack (3-5) | W45-20 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tarleton St (8-0) | L24-27 | Sep 12 | at McNeese St (3-5) | W27-24 |
| Sep 5 | vs Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | W52-0 | Sep 5 | at Bowling Green (2-6) | W20-13 |
| Aug 29 | vs Stephen F. Austin (8-0) | L27-38 | Aug 29 | vs Prairie View A&M (4-5) | W49-30 |