Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Simpson CA 56%, Mayville St 44% at Mayville St.
Simpson CA's win probability against Mayville St has swung between 46% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Simpson CA's win probability against Mayville St has swung between 52% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Simpson CA's win probability against Mayville St has swung between 59% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.