Sioux Falls at Mary Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Sioux Falls by 7.81
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D2 predictions
RATINGS
Mary
Sioux Falls 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
75
C
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoR (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Mary
Sioux Falls
| 65 #389 overall |
Overall | 32 #280 overall |
| 85 #377 overall |
Power | 40 #300 overall |
| 100 #409 overall |
Offensive | 37 #301 overall |
| 72 #346 overall |
Defensive | 47 #301 overall |
| 9 #238 overall |
SoS (Current) | 47 #330 overall |
| 20 #265 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 40 #312 overall |
Sioux Falls#3268%Mary#6532%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Sioux Falls 68%, Mary 32% at Mary.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Mary is trending down — from 77% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Mary is trending down — from 81% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Mary is trending down — from 85% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Sioux Falls favored
Mary favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Mary | Neutral | At Sioux Falls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 2 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 4 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 8 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
RECORDS
Mary
Sioux Falls
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
5-3 (62.5%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-2 (60%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-3 (25%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Mary
Sioux Falls
| #441 Rocky Mountain | Best Win | #239 Minn St-Moorhead |
| #280 Sioux Falls | Worst Loss | #321 Black Hills St |
| 13 pts vs #441 Rocky Mountain | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #682 Jamestown |
| 41 pts vs #71 Minn St-Mankato | Largest MOD | 17 pts vs #206 Augustana SD |
OTHER STATISTICS
Mary
Sioux Falls
| 18.3 | Points per Game | 29 |
| 26.4 | Points Against | 24.3 |
| 18.5 | Home PPG | 28.2 |
| 32 | Home PA | 24.6 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 30.3 |
| 24.3 | Away PA | 23.7 |
| 37-26 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 310.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 377.6 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mary
Sioux Falls
| Oct 24 | vs Minnesota-Duluth (6-2) | L12-27 | Oct 24 | vs Minot St (2-6) | W49-29 |
| Oct 10 | at Minn St-Moorhead (5-3) | L22-42 | Oct 10 | vs SW Minnesota St (1-7) | W28-14 |
| Oct 3 | vs Jamestown (0-8) | W21-13 | Oct 3 | at Augustana SD (6-2) | L20-37 |
| Sep 26 | at Northern St SD (6-2) | L14-21 | Sep 26 | vs Minn St-Mankato (8-0) | L14-28 |
| Sep 19 | vs Sioux Falls (5-3) | L34-40 | Sep 19 | at Mary (3-5) | W40-34 |
| Sep 12 | at Concordia-St Paul (3-5) | W13-10 | Sep 12 | vs Minn St-Moorhead (5-3) | W29-28 |
| Sep 5 | vs Minn St-Mankato (8-0) | L7-48 | Sep 5 | at Jamestown (0-8) | W31-0 |
| Aug 27 | Rocky Mountain (4-3) | W23-10 | Aug 27 | vs Black Hills St (5-3) | L21-24 |