Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Mary 77%, Rocky Mountain 23% at a neutral site.
Mary's win probability against Rocky Mountain has swung between 64% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Mary's win probability against Rocky Mountain has swung between 70% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Mary's win probability against Rocky Mountain has swung between 75% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.