Howard Payne at Mary Hardin-Baylor Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Hardin-Baylor by 15.79
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's D3 predictions
RATINGS
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
91
A-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
92
A-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
95
A
|
RANKINGS
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor
| 47 #266 overall |
Overall | 19 #163 overall |
| 47 #392 overall |
Power | 16 #251 overall |
| 41 #360 overall |
Offensive | 18 #248 overall |
| 60 #423 overall |
Defensive | 16 #254 overall |
| 185 #704 overall |
SoS (Current) | 22 #283 overall |
| 115 #518 overall |
SoS (Future) | 24 #314 overall |
Mary Hardin-Baylor#1982%Howard Payne#4718%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Mary Hardin-Baylor 82%, Howard Payne 18% at Mary Hardin-Baylor.
Mary Hardin-Baylor's win probability against Howard Payne is trending down — from 91% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Hardin-Baylor's win probability against Howard Payne is trending down — from 93% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Hardin-Baylor's win probability against Howard Payne is trending down — from 95% to 82% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Hardin-Baylor favored
Howard Payne favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Howard Payne | Neutral | At Mary Hardin-Baylor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
RECORDS
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Overall |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Home |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Away |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-1 (75%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor
| #482 Wayland Baptist | Best Win | #262 Rowan |
| None | Worst Loss | #79 Endicott |
| 49 pts vs #725 Pacific OR | Largest MOV | 50 pts vs #594 Keystone |
| None | Largest MOD | 1 pts vs #79 Endicott |
OTHER STATISTICS
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor
| 45.5 | Points per Game | 38.8 |
| 15.3 | Points Against | 15.5 |
| 44 | Home PPG | 45.5 |
| 16 | Home PA | 21 |
| 43 | Away PPG | 32 |
| 8.5 | Away PA | 10 |
| 6-13 | Opponent Record | 11-7 |
| 593 | Avg Opponent Rank | 334 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Howard Payne
Mary Hardin-Baylor
| Oct 3 | vs Nelson TX (1-4) | W44-16 | Oct 3 | vs Keystone (1-4) | W64-14 |
| Sep 26 | Simpson IA (2-2) | W52-28 | Sep 19 | vs Endicott (5-0) | L27-28 |
| Sep 19 | at Wayland Baptist (3-3) | W37-17 | Sep 12 | at Pacific Lutheran (2-2) | W29-6 |
| Sep 4 | at Pacific OR (0-4) | W49-0 | Sep 4 | at Rowan (3-1) | W35-14 |