Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Alabama 68%, Marshall 32% at Marshall.
South Alabama's win probability against Marshall has swung between 57% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
South Alabama's win probability against Marshall has swung between 63% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
South Alabama's win probability against Marshall has swung between 69% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.