Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Maine 56%, New Hampshire 44% at Maine.
Maine's win probability against New Hampshire has swung between 33% and 50% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 44% now.
Maine's win probability against New Hampshire has swung between 38% and 56% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 50% now.
Maine's win probability against New Hampshire has swung between 45% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.