Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
See this week's D3 predictions →
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Texas Lutheran 97%, Lyon 3% at Lyon.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Lyon is trending up — from 94% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Lyon has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.