SMU at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 10.44
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, November 1, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
SMU
Louisville 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
SMU
Louisville
| 52 #54 overall |
Overall | 35 #35 overall |
| 45 #45 overall |
Power | 29 #29 overall |
| 44 #44 overall |
Offensive | 14 #14 overall |
| 51 #51 overall |
Defensive | 42 #42 overall |
| 80 #80 overall |
SoS (Current) | 29 #29 overall |
| 63 #63 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 32 #32 overall |
Louisville#3573%
SMU#5227%Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Louisville 73%, SMU 27% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against SMU is trending up — from 51% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against SMU is trending up — from 57% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against SMU is trending up — from 63% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At SMU | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 7 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 10 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
SMU
Louisville
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-2 (75%) |
Overall |
5-3 (62.5%) |
|
5-0 (100%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
SMU
Louisville
| #100 Boston College | Best Win | #54 SMU |
| #98 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #90 North Carolina St |
| 46 pts vs #217 UC-Davis | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #266 Villanova |
| 10 pts vs #35 Louisville | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #90 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
SMU
Louisville
| 35.3 | Points per Game | 40.4 |
| 22.3 | Points Against | 27 |
| 39.4 | Home PPG | 44.6 |
| 16.6 | Home PA | 23.6 |
| 28.3 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 31.7 | Away PA | 28.5 |
| 31-36 | Opponent Record | 39-27 |
| 129.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 90.3 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SMU
Louisville
| Oct 31 | at Syracuse (4-4) | L27-30 | Oct 31 | vs Stanford (4-5) | W52-24 |
| Oct 24 | vs California (3-6) | W59-20 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (4-4) | W34-26 |
| Oct 17 | vs Virginia (4-5) | W23-13 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-5) | W44-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Boston College (4-4) | W25-16 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (4-4) | L28-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Missouri St (3-5) | W34-24 | Sep 26 | vs #13 Wake Forest (7-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 19 | at Louisville (5-3) | L31-41 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-2) | W41-31 |
| Sep 12 | vs UC-Davis (5-4) | W56-10 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (5-4) | W59-13 |
| Sep 7 | at Florida St (3-5) | W27-24 | Sep 6 | #7 Mississippi (6-2) | L38-41 |