SMU at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 7.02
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Louisville
SMU 
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
RANKINGS
Louisville
SMU
| 42 #43 overall |
Overall | 29 #29 overall |
| 27 #27 overall |
Power | 38 #38 overall |
| 15 #15 overall |
Offensive | 37 #37 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
Defensive | 47 #47 overall |
| 33 #33 overall |
SoS (Current) | 71 #71 overall |
| 30 #30 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 58 #58 overall |
Louisville#4266%
SMU#2934%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Louisville 66%, SMU 34% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against SMU has swung between 39% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Louisville's win probability against SMU has swung between 45% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Louisville's win probability against SMU has swung between 52% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Louisville favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At SMU | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 45% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 7 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
RECORDS
Louisville
SMU
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Louisville
SMU
| #29 SMU | Best Win | #66 Boston College |
| #100 North Carolina St | Worst Loss | #43 Louisville |
| 46 pts vs #285 Villanova | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #178 UC-Davis |
| 3 pts vs #100 North Carolina St | Largest MOD | 10 pts vs #43 Louisville |
OTHER STATISTICS
Louisville
SMU
| 38.7 | Points per Game | 36.4 |
| 27.4 | Points Against | 21.1 |
| 42.8 | Home PPG | 39.4 |
| 23.5 | Home PA | 16.6 |
| 31 | Away PPG | 29 |
| 28.5 | Away PA | 32.5 |
| 30-20 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 94 | Avg Opponent Rank | 125.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Louisville
SMU
| Oct 17 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W34-26 | Oct 24 | vs California (3-5) | W59-20 |
| Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-4) | W44-20 | Oct 17 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W23-13 |
| Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L28-31 | Oct 3 | vs Boston College (4-3) | W25-16 |
| Sep 26 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L27-30 | Sep 26 | vs Missouri St (2-5) | W34-24 |
| Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-1) | W41-31 | Sep 19 | at Louisville (4-3) | L31-41 |
| Sep 11 | vs Villanova (4-4) | W59-13 | Sep 12 | vs UC-Davis (5-3) | W56-10 |
| Sep 6 | #13 Mississippi (5-2) | L38-41 | Sep 7 | at Florida St (3-4) | W27-24 |