Pittsburgh at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 12.01
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, November 15, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Pittsburgh
Louisville 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
78
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
RANKINGS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| 62 #66 overall |
Overall | 26 #26 overall |
| 47 #47 overall |
Power | 23 #23 overall |
| 59 #59 overall |
Offensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 42 #42 overall |
Defensive | 37 #37 overall |
| 76 #76 overall |
SoS (Current) | 28 #28 overall |
| 75 #75 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 25 #25 overall |
Louisville#2676%
Pittsburgh#6224%Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: Louisville 76%, Pittsburgh 24% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh is trending up — from 25% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh is trending up — from 31% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh is trending up — from 36% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville favored
Pittsburgh favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Pittsburgh | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 1 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 2 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 4 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 5 | 19% | 24% | 29% |
| Wk 6 | 25% | 31% | 36% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 10 | 61% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 11 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 12 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Overall |
7-3 (70%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-2 (75%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| #69 Central Florida | Best Win | #41 SMU |
| #118 Boston College | Worst Loss | #108 North Carolina St |
| 59 pts vs #572 Bucknell | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #258 Villanova |
| 29 pts vs #6 Miami FL | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #108 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| 29.7 | Points per Game | 38.3 |
| 19.4 | Points Against | 24.7 |
| 31.1 | Home PPG | 44.6 |
| 11.7 | Home PA | 23.6 |
| 26.3 | Away PPG | 30.5 |
| 37.3 | Away PA | 22 |
| 49-52 | Opponent Record | 55-45 |
| 125.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 78.8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| Nov 13 | vs Florida St (5-5) | L10-16 | Nov 14 | at North Carolina (5-5) | W16-14 |
| Oct 31 | vs Georgia Tech (3-7) | W34-11 | Nov 7 | at Georgia Tech (3-7) | W44-17 |
| Oct 24 | at #6 Miami FL (9-1) | L23-52 | Oct 31 | vs Stanford (5-5) | W52-24 |
| Oct 17 | at Boston College (4-6) | L21-27 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (5-5) | W34-26 |
| Oct 10 | vs North Carolina (5-5) | L17-21 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (5-5) | W44-20 |
| Oct 2 | at Virginia Tech (6-4) | W35-33 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (4-6) | L28-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Bucknell (1-10) | W59-0 | Sep 26 | vs #13 Wake Forest (9-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 17 | vs Syracuse (5-5) | W27-13 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (7-3) | W41-31 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Florida (5-5) | W12-7 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (6-5) | W59-13 |
| Sep 5 | vs Miami OH (6-4) | W59-14 | Sep 6 | #10 Mississippi (6-3) | L38-41 |