Pittsburgh at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 9.63
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Pittsburgh
Louisville 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
85
B
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| 51 #53 overall |
Overall | 42 #43 overall |
| 48 #48 overall |
Power | 27 #27 overall |
| 48 #48 overall |
Offensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 49 #49 overall |
Defensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 72 #72 overall |
SoS (Current) | 33 #33 overall |
| 73 #73 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 30 #30 overall |
Louisville#4271%
Pittsburgh#5129%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Louisville 71%, Pittsburgh 29% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh is trending up — from 39% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh is trending up — from 45% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Louisville's win probability against Pittsburgh has swung between 29% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Louisville favored
Pittsburgh favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Pittsburgh | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 1 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 2 | 44% | 51% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 39% | 45% | 51% |
| Wk 4 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 5 | 19% | 24% | 29% |
| Wk 6 | 25% | 31% | 36% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 8 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
RECORDS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-3 (62.5%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| #42 Central Florida | Best Win | #29 SMU |
| #66 Boston College | Worst Loss | #100 North Carolina St |
| 59 pts vs #544 Bucknell | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #285 Villanova |
| 29 pts vs #3 Miami FL | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #100 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| 31.6 | Points per Game | 38.7 |
| 20.9 | Points Against | 27.4 |
| 34.8 | Home PPG | 42.8 |
| 11 | Home PA | 23.5 |
| 26.3 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 37.3 | Away PA | 28.5 |
| 34-25 | Opponent Record | 30-20 |
| 125.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 94 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Pittsburgh
Louisville
| Oct 24 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L23-52 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W34-26 |
| Oct 17 | at Boston College (4-3) | L21-27 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-4) | W44-20 |
| Oct 10 | vs North Carolina (4-3) | L17-21 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L28-31 |
| Oct 2 | at Virginia Tech (6-2) | W35-33 | Sep 26 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 26 | vs Bucknell (1-7) | W59-0 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-1) | W41-31 |
| Sep 17 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | W27-13 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (4-4) | W59-13 |
| Sep 12 | vs Central Florida (4-3) | W12-7 | Sep 6 | #13 Mississippi (5-2) | L38-41 |
| Sep 5 | vs Miami OH (5-3) | W59-14 |