Florida St at Louisville Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 7.29
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Florida St
Louisville 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
86
B
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
RANKINGS
Florida St
Louisville
| 74 #88 overall |
Overall | 42 #43 overall |
| 41 #41 overall |
Power | 27 #27 overall |
| 35 #35 overall |
Offensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 48 #48 overall |
Defensive | 43 #43 overall |
| 47 #47 overall |
SoS (Current) | 33 #33 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 30 #30 overall |
Louisville#4267%
Florida St#7433%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Louisville 67%, Florida St 33% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Florida St has swung between 29% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Louisville's win probability against Florida St has swung between 34% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Louisville's win probability against Florida St has swung between 40% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Louisville favored
Florida St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Florida St | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 6 | 29% | 34% | 40% |
| Wk 7 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
RECORDS
Florida St
Louisville
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
Louisville
| #110 Virginia | Best Win | #29 SMU |
| #43 Louisville | Worst Loss | #100 North Carolina St |
| 31 pts vs #110 Virginia | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #285 Villanova |
| 24 pts vs #43 Louisville | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #100 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Florida St
Louisville
| 31.6 | Points per Game | 38.7 |
| 27.9 | Points Against | 27.4 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 42.8 |
| 14.5 | Home PA | 23.5 |
| 30.3 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 45.7 | Away PA | 28.5 |
| 32-20 | Opponent Record | 30-20 |
| 111 | Avg Opponent Rank | 94 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
Louisville
| Oct 17 | at #3 Miami FL (7-0) | L35-43 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W34-26 |
| Oct 9 | at Louisville (4-3) | L20-44 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-4) | W44-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Virginia (4-4) | W38-7 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L28-31 |
| Sep 26 | vs Central Arkansas (2-6) | W34-7 | Sep 26 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 19 | at #8 Alabama (6-2) | L36-50 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-1) | W41-31 |
| Sep 7 | vs SMU (6-1) | L24-27 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (4-4) | W59-13 |
| Aug 29 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | W34-17 | Sep 6 | #13 Mississippi (5-2) | L38-41 |