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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Louisiana-Monroe 67%, SE Louisiana 33% at Louisiana-Monroe.
Louisiana-Monroe's win probability against SE Louisiana has swung between 39% and 55% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Louisiana-Monroe's win probability against SE Louisiana has swung between 45% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Louisiana-Monroe's win probability against SE Louisiana has swung between 51% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.