Sam Houston St at Liberty Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Liberty by 23.91
TOTAL POINTS
46
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Sam Houston St
Liberty 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
|
67
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Sam Houston St
Liberty
| 136 #398 overall |
Overall | 70 #80 overall |
| 123 #130 overall |
Power | 62 #62 overall |
| 127 #144 overall |
Offensive | 73 #73 overall |
| 115 #122 overall |
Defensive | 53 #53 overall |
| 114 #125 overall |
SoS (Current) | 138 #186 overall |
| 124 #136 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 138 #169 overall |
Liberty#7092%
Sam Houston St#1368%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Liberty 92%, Sam Houston St 8% at Liberty.
Liberty's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 66% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 71% to 89% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Sam Houston St has swung between 59% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Liberty favored
Sam Houston St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Sam Houston St | Neutral | At Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 4 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 8 | 81% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
RECORDS
Sam Houston St
Liberty
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Sam Houston St
Liberty
| #341 Nicholls St | Best Win | #156 Ball St |
| #254 Troy | Worst Loss | #47 James Madison |
| 59 pts vs #341 Nicholls St | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #156 Ball St |
| 35 pts vs #17 Texas Tech | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #47 James Madison |
OTHER STATISTICS
Sam Houston St
Liberty
| 20.1 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 25.3 | Points Against | 14 |
| 25.8 | Home PPG | 36.7 |
| 17.3 | Home PA | 13.7 |
| 12.7 | Away PPG | 27.8 |
| 36 | Away PA | 14.3 |
| 28-23 | Opponent Record | 19-33 |
| 187.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 259.7 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Sam Houston St
Liberty
| Oct 21 | vs New Mexico St (3-4) | L24-30 | Oct 22 | at Kennesaw St (1-6) | W34-6 |
| Oct 14 | vs Western Kentucky (3-4) | L3-16 | Oct 8 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W35-3 |
| Oct 8 | at Liberty (6-1) | L3-35 | Oct 2 | at Delaware (3-4) | W30-14 |
| Sep 26 | at #17 Texas Tech (6-1) | L14-49 | Sep 24 | at Coastal Carolina (2-5) | W34-17 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nicholls St (3-5) | W59-0 | Sep 19 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W51-15 |
| Sep 12 | vs Tulsa (4-4) | L17-23 | Sep 12 | vs Gardner-Webb (2-6) | W24-23 |
| Sep 5 | at Troy (3-4) | L21-24 | Sep 5 | at James Madison (7-1) | L13-20 |