Middle Tennessee St at Liberty Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Liberty by 25.16
TOTAL POINTS
49
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
79
C+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
79
C+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
84
B
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
|
71
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty
| 100 #138 overall |
Overall | 70 #80 overall |
| 128 #136 overall |
Power | 62 #62 overall |
| 122 #137 overall |
Offensive | 73 #73 overall |
| 126 #135 overall |
Defensive | 53 #53 overall |
| 106 #112 overall |
SoS (Current) | 138 #186 overall |
| 135 #152 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 138 #169 overall |
Liberty#7093%
Middle Tennessee St#1007%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Liberty 93%, Middle Tennessee St 7% at Liberty.
Liberty's win probability against Middle Tennessee St is trending up — from 63% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Middle Tennessee St is trending up — from 69% to 90% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty's win probability against Middle Tennessee St is trending up — from 74% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Liberty favored
Middle Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Middle Tennessee St | Neutral | At Liberty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 1 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 5 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
RECORDS
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty
| #155 Nevada | Best Win | #156 Ball St |
| #134 Marshall | Worst Loss | #47 James Madison |
| 24 pts vs #404 Murray St | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #156 Ball St |
| 55 pts vs #99 Kansas | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #47 James Madison |
OTHER STATISTICS
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty
| 23.3 | Points per Game | 31.6 |
| 27.6 | Points Against | 14 |
| 32.7 | Home PPG | 36.7 |
| 21.3 | Home PA | 13.7 |
| 16.3 | Away PPG | 27.8 |
| 32.3 | Away PA | 14.3 |
| 22-28 | Opponent Record | 19-33 |
| 177.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 259.7 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Middle Tennessee St
Liberty
| Oct 20 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | W26-23 | Oct 22 | at Kennesaw St (1-6) | W34-6 |
| Oct 13 | vs Delaware (3-4) | W33-30 | Oct 8 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W35-3 |
| Oct 3 | at Kansas (3-4) | L0-55 | Oct 2 | at Delaware (3-4) | W30-14 |
| Sep 26 | at Jacksonville St (5-2) | L13-23 | Sep 24 | at Coastal Carolina (2-5) | W34-17 |
| Sep 19 | vs Nevada (3-4) | W27-20 | Sep 19 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W51-15 |
| Sep 12 | at Marshall (4-3) | L26-28 | Sep 12 | vs Gardner-Webb (2-6) | W24-23 |
| Sep 5 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W38-14 | Sep 5 | at James Madison (7-1) | L13-20 |