Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Grinnell 79%, Lawrence 21% at Lawrence.
Grinnell's win probability against Lawrence has swung between 77% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Grinnell's win probability against Lawrence has swung between 81% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 83% now.
Grinnell's win probability against Lawrence has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.