Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Beloit 62%, Lawrence 38% at Lawrence.
Beloit's win probability against Lawrence has swung between 53% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Beloit's win probability against Lawrence has swung between 59% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Beloit's win probability against Lawrence has swung between 65% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.