Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Lake Forest 99%, Grinnell 1% at Lake Forest.
Lake Forest's win probability against Grinnell has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.