Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Villanova 55%, LIU 45% at LIU.
Villanova's win probability against LIU has swung between 46% and 60% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Villanova's win probability against LIU has swung between 53% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Villanova's win probability against LIU has swung between 59% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.