Alvernia at Keystone Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Alvernia by 12.98
TOTAL POINTS
47
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's D3 predictions
RATINGS
Keystone College
Alvernia 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Offensive |
75
C
|
|
70
C-
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
|
74
C
|
SoR (Current) |
78
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Keystone College
Alvernia
| 172 #644 overall |
Overall | 129 #549 overall |
| 175 #691 overall |
Power | 121 #613 overall |
| 172 #694 overall |
Offensive | 146 #654 overall |
| 177 #688 overall |
Defensive | 104 #581 overall |
| 41 #347 overall |
SoS (Current) | 192 #703 overall |
| 135 #569 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 186 #691 overall |
Alvernia#12978%Keystone#17222%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Alvernia 78%, Keystone 22% at Keystone.
Alvernia's win probability against Keystone is trending up — from 30% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Alvernia's win probability against Keystone is trending up — from 36% to 82% over the last 6 weeks.
Alvernia's win probability against Keystone is trending up — from 42% to 86% over the last 6 weeks.
Alvernia favored
Keystone favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Keystone | Neutral | At Alvernia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 15% | 18% | 23% |
| Wk 1 | 20% | 24% | 29% |
| Wk 2 | 21% | 25% | 30% |
| Wk 3 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 5 | 62% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 6 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 74% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
RECORDS
Keystone College
Alvernia
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Keystone College
Alvernia
| #549 Alvernia | Best Win | #384 Eastern U. |
| #703 Apprentice | Worst Loss | #705 Widener |
| 4 pts vs #549 Alvernia | Largest MOV | 7 pts vs #602 King's PA |
| 69 pts vs #90 UW-Whitewater | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #455 Misericordia |
OTHER STATISTICS
Keystone College
Alvernia
| 10 | Points per Game | 18.7 |
| 40.7 | Points Against | 18 |
| 10.7 | Home PPG | 20 |
| 33.3 | Home PA | 18.3 |
| 9.3 | Away PPG | 17 |
| 48 | Away PA | 17.7 |
| 27-12 | Opponent Record | 20-27 |
| 389.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 587.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Keystone College
Alvernia
| Oct 17 | vs Apprentice (1-3) | L7-10 | Oct 24 | vs Eastern U. (5-2) | W22-21 |
| Oct 3 | at Mary Hardin-Baylor (6-1) | L14-64 | Oct 17 | at Albright (3-4) | W20-14 |
| Sep 26 | vs UW-Whitewater (7-0) | L0-69 | Oct 10 | vs Misericordia (5-2) | L17-21 |
| Sep 19 | at Southern Virginia (3-4) | L14-38 | Sep 26 | vs Lebanon Valley (1-6) | W13-10 |
| Sep 12 | at Wash & Jeff (6-1) | L0-42 | Sep 19 | vs King's PA (3-3) | W28-21 |
| Sep 4 | vs Alvernia (4-3) | W25-21 | Sep 12 | at Widener (2-5) | L10-14 |