Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Kentucky 54%, Tennessee 46% at Kentucky.
Kentucky's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 29% and 51% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 41% now.
Kentucky's win probability against Tennessee has swung between 34% and 57% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 47% now.
Kentucky's win probability against Tennessee is trending up — from 42% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.