Louisville at Kentucky Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Kentucky by 7.66
TOTAL POINTS
60
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Louisville
Kentucky 
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
93
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Louisville
Kentucky
| 42 #43 overall |
Overall | 1 #1 overall |
| 27 #27 overall |
Power | 14 #14 overall |
| 15 #15 overall |
Offensive | 11 #11 overall |
| 43 #43 overall |
Defensive | 23 #23 overall |
| 33 #33 overall |
SoS (Current) | 3 #3 overall |
| 30 #30 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 2 #2 overall |
Kentucky#167%
Louisville#4233%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Kentucky 67%, Louisville 33% at Kentucky.
Kentucky's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 30% to 55% over the last 6 weeks.
Kentucky's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 36% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Kentucky's win probability against Louisville is trending up — from 42% to 67% over the last 6 weeks.
Kentucky favored
Louisville favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Louisville | Neutral | At Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 29% | 35% | 41% |
| Wk 1 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 2 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 3 | 30% | 36% | 42% |
| Wk 4 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 62% | 67% |
RECORDS
Louisville
Kentucky
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-3 (57.1%) |
Overall |
7-1 (87.5%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Away |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
5-0 (100%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Louisville
Kentucky
| #29 SMU | Best Win | #9 LSU |
| #100 North Carolina St | Worst Loss | #8 Alabama |
| 46 pts vs #285 Villanova | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #72 Youngstown St |
| 3 pts vs #100 North Carolina St | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #8 Alabama |
OTHER STATISTICS
Louisville
Kentucky
| 38.7 | Points per Game | 32.9 |
| 27.4 | Points Against | 24.8 |
| 42.8 | Home PPG | 35.2 |
| 23.5 | Home PA | 26 |
| 31 | Away PPG | 29 |
| 28.5 | Away PA | 22.7 |
| 30-20 | Opponent Record | 37-24 |
| 94 | Avg Opponent Rank | 45.4 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Louisville
Kentucky
| Oct 17 | at Syracuse (3-4) | W34-26 | Oct 24 | vs Vanderbilt (3-5) | W34-17 |
| Oct 9 | vs Florida St (3-4) | W44-20 | Oct 17 | at #19 Oklahoma (4-3) | W21-13 |
| Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (3-4) | L28-31 | Oct 10 | vs #9 LSU (6-2) | W35-34 |
| Sep 26 | vs #16 Wake Forest (6-1) | L27-30 | Oct 3 | at #23 South Carolina (4-3) | W35-34 |
| Sep 19 | vs SMU (6-1) | W41-31 | Sep 26 | vs South Alabama (4-3) | W45-21 |
| Sep 11 | vs Villanova (4-4) | W59-13 | Sep 19 | at Texas A&M (4-4) | W31-21 |
| Sep 6 | #13 Mississippi (5-2) | L38-41 | Sep 12 | vs #8 Alabama (6-2) | L17-45 |