Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Kansas St 99%, Nicholls St 1% at Kansas St.
Kansas St's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.