Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Defiance 97%, Judson IL 3% at Judson IL.
Defiance's win probability against Judson IL is trending up — from 94% to 97% over the last 6 weeks.
Defiance's win probability against Judson IL has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.