Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Sioux Falls 90%, Jamestown 10% at Jamestown.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Jamestown has swung between 85% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Jamestown has swung between 88% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Sioux Falls' win probability against Jamestown has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.