Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Jacksonville St 76%, Middle Tennessee St 24% at Jacksonville St.
Jacksonville St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 54% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Jacksonville St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 60% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Jacksonville St's win probability against Middle Tennessee St has swung between 66% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.