Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Ohio State 78%, Iowa 22% at Iowa.
Ohio State's win probability against Iowa has swung between 65% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Ohio State's win probability against Iowa has swung between 71% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Ohio State's win probability against Iowa has swung between 76% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.