Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Iowa 74%, Iowa St 26% at Iowa.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 55% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 63% now.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 61% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Iowa's win probability against Iowa St has swung between 67% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.