Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Iowa St 98%, SE Missouri St 2% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against SE Missouri St has swung between 93% and 98% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 96% now.
Iowa St's win probability against SE Missouri St has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Iowa St's win probability against SE Missouri St has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.