Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Indiana Wesleyan 99%, St Mary-Woods 1% at Indiana Wesleyan.
Indiana Wesleyan's win probability against St Mary-Woods has held at 99% over the last 3 updates — this matchup has settled.