Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Southern Illinois 58%, Indiana St 42% at Indiana St.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Indiana St has swung between 55% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Indiana St has swung between 61% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Southern Illinois' win probability against Indiana St has swung between 67% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.