Texas-Rio Grande Valley at Incarnate Word Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Texas-Rio Grande Valley by 0.79
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Incarnate Word
UTRGV 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
85
B
|
|
83
B-
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
Incarnate Word
UTRGV
| 45 #236 overall |
Overall | 37 #211 overall |
| 37 #258 overall |
Power | 23 #216 overall |
| 18 #185 overall |
Offensive | 45 #269 overall |
| 52 #318 overall |
Defensive | 12 #167 overall |
| 10 #117 overall |
SoS (Current) | 31 #163 overall |
| 35 #175 overall |
SoS (Future) | 33 #172 overall |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#3752%
Incarnate Word#4548%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Texas-Rio Grande Valley 52%, Incarnate Word 48% at Incarnate Word.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Incarnate Word has swung between 50% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Incarnate Word has swung between 56% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley's win probability against Incarnate Word has swung between 63% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Incarnate Word favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Incarnate Word | Neutral | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
RECORDS
Incarnate Word
UTRGV
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Overall |
3-3 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Incarnate Word
UTRGV
| #277 Houston Christian | Best Win | #225 McNeese St |
| #92 Lamar | Worst Loss | #342 Nicholls St |
| 62 pts vs #518 OK Panhandle St | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #281 Texas-Permian Basin |
| 53 pts vs #87 Texas St-San Marcos | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #32 Texas-San Antonio |
OTHER STATISTICS
Incarnate Word
UTRGV
| 34.2 | Points per Game | 24.2 |
| 34 | Points Against | 18.2 |
| 53 | Home PPG | 28 |
| 18.5 | Home PA | 4.3 |
| 24.8 | Away PPG | 20.3 |
| 41.8 | Away PA | 32 |
| 24-13 | Opponent Record | 19-17 |
| 185.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 240.5 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Incarnate Word
UTRGV
| Oct 10 | at Lamar (5-1) | L35-38 | Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (3-3) | W13-3 |
| Oct 3 | at Stephen F. Austin (6-0) | L26-28 | Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-4) | L17-20 |
| Sep 26 | at Texas St-San Marcos (2-3) | L10-63 | Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (2-4) | W27-10 |
| Sep 19 | vs Houston Christian (3-3) | W30-23 | Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (2-4) | L28-31 |
| Sep 12 | at Northern Arizona (5-2) | L28-38 | Sep 5 | at Texas-San Antonio (5-1) | L16-45 |
| Aug 29 | vs OK Panhandle St (3-4) | W76-14 | Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-1) | W44-0 |