Texas-Rio Grande Valley at Incarnate Word Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Incarnate Word by 11.55
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
UTRGV
Incarnate Word 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
SoR (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
85
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
RANKINGS
UTRGV
Incarnate Word
| 50 #238 overall |
Overall | 20 #153 overall |
| 49 #190 overall |
Power | 23 #155 overall |
| 58 #205 overall |
Offensive | 13 #132 overall |
| 35 #172 overall |
Defensive | 37 #175 overall |
| 49 #190 overall |
SoS (Current) | 15 #141 overall |
| 46 #187 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 44 #185 overall |
Incarnate Word#2075%
Texas-Rio Grande Valley#5025%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Incarnate Word 75%, Texas-Rio Grande Valley 25% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 37% to 64% over the last 6 weeks.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 44% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Texas-Rio Grande Valley is trending up — from 50% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.
Incarnate Word favored
Texas-Rio Grande Valley favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Texas-Rio Grande Valley | Neutral | At Incarnate Word |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 2 | 34% | 40% | 46% |
| Wk 3 | 37% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 4 | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 5 | 17% | 21% | 26% |
| Wk 6 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 7 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
RECORDS
UTRGV
Incarnate Word
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
4-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
0-4 (0%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-4 (42.9%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UTRGV
Incarnate Word
| #197 SE Louisiana | Best Win | #238 Texas-Rio Grande Valley |
| #413 East Texas A&M | Worst Loss | #118 Lamar |
| 44 pts vs #386 Texas-Permian Basin | Largest MOV | 62 pts vs #510 OK Panhandle St |
| 29 pts vs #21 Texas-San Antonio | Largest MOD | 53 pts vs #49 Texas St-San Marcos |
OTHER STATISTICS
UTRGV
Incarnate Word
| 23.9 | Points per Game | 35.5 |
| 22.1 | Points Against | 28.3 |
| 28 | Home PPG | 46.3 |
| 4.3 | Home PA | 14.8 |
| 21.4 | Away PPG | 24.8 |
| 32.8 | Away PA | 41.8 |
| 30-34 | Opponent Record | 39-24 |
| 266.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 196.9 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UTRGV
Incarnate Word
| Oct 24 | at Central Arkansas (2-6) | W30-27 | Oct 24 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W38-6 |
| Oct 17 | at Incarnate Word (4-4) | L16-41 | Oct 17 | vs Texas-Rio Grande Valley (4-4) | W41-16 |
| Oct 10 | vs SE Louisiana (4-4) | W13-3 | Oct 10 | at Lamar (6-2) | L35-38 |
| Oct 3 | at East Texas A&M (2-6) | L17-20 | Oct 3 | at Stephen F. Austin (8-0) | L26-28 |
| Sep 19 | vs McNeese St (3-5) | W27-10 | Sep 26 | at Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | L10-63 |
| Sep 12 | at Nicholls St (3-5) | L28-31 | Sep 19 | vs Houston Christian (4-4) | W30-23 |
| Sep 5 | at #21 Texas-San Antonio (7-1) | L16-45 | Sep 12 | at Northern Arizona (6-2) | L28-38 |
| Aug 29 | vs Texas-Permian Basin (5-3) | W44-0 | Aug 29 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | W76-14 |