Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Wheaton 89%, Illinois Wesleyan 11% at Illinois Wesleyan.
Wheaton's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has swung between 84% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Wheaton's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has swung between 87% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Wheaton's win probability against Illinois Wesleyan has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.