Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Illinois Wesleyan 85%, North Park 15% at Illinois Wesleyan.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 77% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 81% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 85% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.