Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Illinois Wesleyan 88%, North Park 12% at Illinois Wesleyan.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 79% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 81% now.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 83% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Illinois Wesleyan's win probability against North Park has swung between 87% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 88% now.