South Dakota at Illinois St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Dakota by 4.38
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, November 15, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Illinois St
South Dakota 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
97
A+
|
SoR (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
Illinois St
South Dakota
| 18 #138 overall |
Overall | 8 #93 overall |
| 7 #126 overall |
Power | 5 #104 overall |
| 15 #132 overall |
Offensive | 4 #96 overall |
| 7 #127 overall |
Defensive | 4 #117 overall |
| 57 #201 overall |
SoS (Current) | 20 #150 overall |
| 47 #188 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 17 #147 overall |
South Dakota#860%
Illinois St#1840%Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: South Dakota 60%, Illinois St 40% at Illinois St.
South Dakota's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 49% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
South Dakota's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 56% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
South Dakota's win probability against Illinois St is trending up — from 62% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
South Dakota favored
Illinois St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Illinois St | Neutral | At South Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 38% | 44% |
| Wk 1 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 2 | 31% | 37% | 43% |
| Wk 3 | 35% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 4 | 36% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 40% | 46% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 67% | 72% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 10 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 11 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
RECORDS
Illinois St
South Dakota
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Overall |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
6-0 (100%) |
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Away |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
6-1 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Illinois St
South Dakota
| #101 Youngstown St | Best Win | #129 North Dakota |
| #200 Northern Iowa | Worst Loss | #101 Youngstown St |
| 76 pts vs #572 St Francis IL | Largest MOV | 39 pts vs #265 Central Conn St |
| 28 pts vs #129 North Dakota | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #101 Youngstown St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Illinois St
South Dakota
| 33.7 | Points per Game | 36.5 |
| 20.5 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 38.2 | Home PPG | 40.3 |
| 13.6 | Home PA | 20 |
| 30 | Away PPG | 31.8 |
| 26.3 | Away PA | 31.8 |
| 50-69 | Opponent Record | 58-60 |
| 279 | Avg Opponent Rank | 211.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Illinois St
South Dakota
| Nov 14 | at Youngstown St (8-3) | W34-33 | Nov 14 | vs Northern Iowa (4-6) | W41-30 |
| Nov 7 | at North Dakota (7-4) | L21-49 | Oct 31 | at South Dakota St (9-2) | L21-31 |
| Oct 31 | vs Murray St (2-9) | W35-14 | Oct 24 | vs North Dakota (7-4) | W26-23 |
| Oct 24 | vs Indiana St (2-9) | W17-10 | Oct 17 | at Murray St (2-9) | W48-20 |
| Oct 17 | at Southern Illinois (5-6) | W35-14 | Oct 10 | vs Southern Illinois (5-6) | W31-10 |
| Oct 3 | vs South Dakota St (9-2) | L14-31 | Oct 3 | vs Indiana St (2-9) | W44-14 |
| Sep 26 | at Northern Iowa (4-6) | L21-28 | Sep 26 | at Youngstown St (8-3) | L28-47 |
| Sep 19 | vs Eastern Illinois (3-8) | W49-13 | Sep 19 | at #14 Boise St (9-1) | L24-38 |
| Sep 12 | at Northern Illinois (0-10) | W28-24 | Sep 12 | vs Eastern Washington (3-8) | W41-23 |
| Sep 5 | at Western Illinois (7-4) | W41-10 | Sep 5 | at Northern Colorado (3-8) | W38-23 |
| Aug 29 | vs St Francis IL (3-8) | W76-0 | Aug 29 | vs Central Conn St (6-4) | W59-20 |